Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs Strome 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 65.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 70.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Turcotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Strome
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Turcotte
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Turcotte
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
44.0% (252)
+9.5%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
37.0% (27)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Turcotte is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Turcotte shoots left. Strome is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Strome
Home
53.2% (263)
41.5% (142)
Away
54.8% (208)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Turcotte
Strome
P1
57.0%
40.0%
P2
59.6%
45.2%
P3
44.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Strome
40.0%▼
45.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |