Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Strome 44.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Strome
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
43.0% (788)
+9.2%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
47.9% (96)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
50.0% (34)
+3.5%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
54.1% (423)
42.6% (486)
Away
50.2% (494)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
51.4%
41.0%
P2
52.0%
47.8%
P3
52.4%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |