Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 68.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 70.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Strome
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
24
(42 meetings)
18
24
Strome
Steel
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
5
6
Strome
Steel
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
12
Strome
Steel
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
7
6
Strome
Steel
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
50.6% (2,876)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
62.6% (179)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
37.4% (254)
+4.1%
On power play, Steel has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Strome shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Strome
Steel
Home
44.4% (4,046)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Strome
Steel
P1
44.0%
51.9%
P2
45.3%
49.5%
P3
44.3%
49.6%
OT
46.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |