Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Steel 49.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 63.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Strome
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Steel
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Strome
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
49.3% (383)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
59.1% (22)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
14.3% (7)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Strome shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Strome
Steel
Home
45.1% (441)
49.4% (180)
Away
43.5% (377)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Strome
Steel
P1
42.9%
51.9%
P2
44.4%
43.8%
P3
45.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |