Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Steel 48.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 50.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Strome
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Strome
Steel
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Strome
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Strome
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
4
Strome
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (788)
49.5% (553)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.9% (96)
61.3% (31)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (34)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Strome shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Strome
Steel
Home
42.6% (486)
46.4% (347)
Away
45.1% (432)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Strome
Steel
P1
41.0%
52.1%
P2
47.8%
49.8%
P3
42.1%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Sam Steel |