Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 91.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 79.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 85.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
29
(45 meetings)
16
29
Strome
Stamkos
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Strome
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
11
Strome
Stamkos
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
12
Strome
Stamkos
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
50.4% (9,799)
-6.3%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
55.1% (1,725)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
49.7% (825)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Strome shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
44.4% (4,046)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
44.0%
49.1%
P2
45.3%
52.7%
P3
44.3%
50.9%
OT
46.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |