Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Strome
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Strome
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (788)
55.3% (628)
-12.3%
Power Play
47.9% (96)
55.1% (216)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (34)
40.2% (87)
+9.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Strome shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
42.6% (486)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.1% (432)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
41.0%
50.7%
P2
47.8%
53.8%
P3
42.1%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |