Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 68.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 70.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Strome
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Strome
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
49.3% (670)
-8.1%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
53.7% (121)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
33.3% (3)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Strome shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
40.1% (581)
54.0% (400)
Away
43.1% (645)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
41.4%
48.6%
P2
42.9%
54.5%
P3
40.5%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |