Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.7% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 75.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 77.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Strome
Stamkos
Last 9: Strome 2-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Strome
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Strome
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (813)
54.1% (460)
-6.3%
Power Play
56.4% (133)
64.2% (106)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (98)
45.3% (106)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Strome shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
47.5% (535)
58.2% (328)
Away
47.5% (509)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
46.4%
57.5%
P2
48.3%
53.1%
P3
47.9%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |