Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 80.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 54.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Strome
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (267)
47.2% (654)
-3.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
45.0% (20)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
32.2% (87)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
42.0% (157)
44.1% (322)
Away
45.4% (141)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
40.0%
42.4%
P2
46.4%
49.8%
P3
44.0%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |