Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 46.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Strome
Gourde
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Strome
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (371)
48.0% (914)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
54.2% (48)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
43.9% (123)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
47.6% (225)
50.2% (512)
Away
44.8% (261)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
45.4%
50.0%
P2
47.6%
45.3%
P3
45.2%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |