Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Gourde
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Strome
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
51.2% (469)
-10.0%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
42.9% (21)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
37.5% (48)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
40.1% (581)
47.8% (301)
Away
43.1% (645)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
41.4%
47.3%
P2
42.9%
53.4%
P3
40.5%
48.6%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |