Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Bennett 47.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 72.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Pavelski
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pavelski
Bennett
Last 6: Pavelski 4-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Pavelski
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
48.2% (766)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
45.1% (82)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
33.9% (56)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bennett
Home
54.2% (360)
49.1% (458)
Away
52.6% (329)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Pavelski
Bennett
P1
54.5%
47.9%
P2
56.7%
47.2%
P3
50.8%
46.4%
OT
30.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |