Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Bennett 46.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 83.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Duchene
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Duchene
Bennett
Last 6: Duchene 5-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
46.5% (909)
+6.5%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
43.1% (51)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
38.5% (13)
+5.3%
On even strength, Duchene has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bennett
Home
54.9% (408)
45.4% (449)
Away
50.0% (432)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Duchene
Bennett
P1
52.5%
49.6%
P2
51.7%
43.7%
P3
53.6%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |