Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 71.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 67.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bennett
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bennett
Karlsson
Last 6: Bennett 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Bennett
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
58.5% (135)
-12.1%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
80.0% (5)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
44.4% (18)
+3.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Bennett shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bennett
Karlsson
Home
50.3% (519)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.7% (457)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Bennett
Karlsson
P1
47.5%
54.4%
P2
46.6%
66.7%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |