Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 65.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 68.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Bennett
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bennett
Karlsson
Last 8: Bennett 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Bennett
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Bennett
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
55.3% (897)
-7.1%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
61.1% (113)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
50.8% (132)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Bennett shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Bennett
Karlsson
Home
49.1% (458)
58.6% (560)
Away
44.8% (446)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Bennett
Karlsson
P1
47.9%
55.8%
P2
47.2%
55.6%
P3
46.4%
55.7%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |