Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 87.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 65.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 73.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Bennett
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Bennett
Karlsson
Last 9: Bennett 2-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Bennett
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Bennett
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Bennett
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
51.4% (735)
-5.9%
Power Play
63.0% (92)
63.5% (115)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
42.9% (133)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Bennett shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Bennett
Karlsson
Home
46.5% (456)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.3% (421)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Bennett
Karlsson
P1
46.6%
50.7%
P2
50.5%
51.4%
P3
43.5%
53.2%
OT
44.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |