Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.3%). Bennett wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Johnston 48.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 55.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Bennett
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bennett
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
47.8% (623)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
50.8% (63)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
51.4% (35)
-3.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Bennett shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnston
Home
50.3% (519)
47.6% (351)
Away
45.7% (457)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Bennett
Johnston
P1
47.5%
49.6%
P2
46.6%
47.3%
P3
49.8%
48.0%
OT
70.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |