Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 54.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 65.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Bennett
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bennett
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Bennett
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Bennett
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
42.5% (318)
+5.7%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
55.6% (9)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
62.5% (8)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Bennett shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnston
Home
49.1% (458)
40.5% (168)
Away
44.8% (446)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Bennett
Johnston
P1
47.9%
46.9%
P2
47.2%
40.4%
P3
46.4%
41.9%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |