Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Johnston 50.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 69.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 63.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Bennett
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bennett
Johnston
Last 7: Bennett 3-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
4
Bennett
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
50.7% (552)
-6.0%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
61.5% (13)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
43.5% (69)
-0.6%
On even strength, Johnston has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Bennett shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnston
Home
48.5% (447)
50.3% (342)
Away
42.1% (411)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Bennett
Johnston
P1
47.1%
54.4%
P2
45.8%
47.2%
P3
42.9%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |