Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 77.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Bennett
Gourde
Last 9: Bennett 2-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Bennett
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Bennett
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Bennett
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
48.0% (914)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
54.2% (48)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
43.9% (123)
-1.0%
On even strength, Gourde has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
48.5% (447)
50.2% (512)
Away
42.1% (411)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
45.8%
45.3%
P3
42.9%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |