Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Bennett
Gourde
Last 10: Bennett 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
1
Bennett
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Bennett
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Bennett
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
47.2% (654)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
45.0% (20)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
32.2% (87)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
50.3% (519)
44.1% (322)
Away
45.7% (457)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
47.5%
42.4%
P2
46.6%
49.8%
P3
49.8%
44.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |