Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Carrick 53.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 54.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Raty
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Carrick
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Raty
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
54.9% (428)
+5.6%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
50.0% (50)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Raty
Carrick
Home
61.4% (332)
58.2% (225)
Away
61.5% (260)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Raty
Carrick
P1
56.6%
55.2%
P2
67.4%
52.8%
P3
59.6%
55.4%
Final 5 min
61.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |