Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 89.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 55.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 75.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Newhook
Carrick
Last 5: Newhook 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
53.9% (521)
-9.0%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
57.1% (35)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.5% (229)
-51.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
45.1% (246)
52.7% (408)
Away
48.0% (246)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
44.7%
51.4%
P2
49.7%
56.6%
P3
43.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |