Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Carrick 53.7% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 93.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 50.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 81.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Newhook
Carrick
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Newhook
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Newhook
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
53.8% (654)
-11.1%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
0.0% (2)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
63.9% (36)
+36.1%
On power play, Newhook has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
39.6% (278)
50.0% (328)
Away
46.1% (280)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
37.3%
56.7%
P2
42.9%
51.1%
P3
47.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |