Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Carrick 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 71.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Coyle
Carrick
Last 6: Coyle 5-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
48.9% (352)
+1.7%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
81.3% (16)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
42.2% (45)
-12.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carrick
Home
51.8% (517)
46.9% (192)
Away
46.7% (583)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Coyle
Carrick
P1
49.2%
48.1%
P2
52.8%
50.0%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |