Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Strome wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 75.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 87.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Strome
Carrick
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
7
Strome
Carrick
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (848)
54.9% (428)
+1.5%
Power Play
66.4% (295)
66.7% (3)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
50.0% (50)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
55.8% (616)
58.2% (225)
Away
62.2% (539)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
61.8%
55.2%
P2
54.6%
52.8%
P3
60.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |