Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 80.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Luostarinen
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Luostarinen
Carrick
Last 7: Luostarinen 5-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
0
Luostarinen
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Luostarinen
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
1
Luostarinen
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
48.9% (352)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
42.2% (45)
-12.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carrick
Home
38.8% (402)
46.9% (192)
Away
41.3% (400)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carrick
P1
40.7%
48.1%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
36.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |