Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 46.6% vs Carrick 50.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 72.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Compher
Carrick
Last 5: Compher 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (288)
51.9% (54)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
66.7% (6)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
33.3% (3)
+5.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
41.2% (211)
48.7% (39)
Away
49.6% (260)
58.3% (24)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
47.3%
68.2%
P2
44.4%
52.6%
P3
46.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |