Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Carrick
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Pageau
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pageau
Carrick
Last 6: Pageau 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Pageau
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
53.8% (654)
+5.8%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
0.0% (2)
+64.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
63.9% (36)
-7.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carrick
Home
59.3% (506)
50.0% (328)
Away
60.0% (482)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Pageau
Carrick
P1
56.8%
56.7%
P2
64.4%
51.1%
P3
56.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
61.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |