Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.2%). Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 63.6%
Defensive zone
Beecher 77.0%
Neutral zone
Beecher 59.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Beecher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Beecher
Carrick
Last 5: Beecher 0-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Beecher
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beecher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
61.3% (75)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
50.7% (430)
-4.8%
On power play, Beecher has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Beecher shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Beecher
Carrick
Home
51.9% (551)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
52.1% (656)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Beecher
Carrick
P1
53.7%
51.8%
P2
48.1%
52.2%
P3
54.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |