Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Carrick 49.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 92.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 83.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Drouin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drouin
Carrick
Last 5: Drouin 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
49.2% (307)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
66.7% (6)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
48.2% (56)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Drouin shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Drouin
Carrick
Home
37.5% (160)
50.3% (175)
Away
49.5% (220)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Drouin
Carrick
P1
40.3%
41.0%
P2
43.3%
51.2%
P3
49.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |