Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 64.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 67.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Bonino
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Bonino
Carrick
Last 6: Bonino 0-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Bonino
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Bonino
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Bonino
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
53.9% (521)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
51.5% (229)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carrick
Home
53.1% (177)
52.7% (408)
Away
49.3% (229)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Bonino
Carrick
P1
55.9%
51.4%
P2
49.6%
56.6%
P3
47.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |