Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.1% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 78.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Carrick
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carrick
Blueger
Last 9: Carrick 6-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Carrick
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
1
Carrick
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
1
Carrick
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (2,513)
52.3% (3,540)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.0% (76)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (430)
42.6% (1,100)
+8.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Carrick shoots right. Blueger is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,516).
Home / Away
Carrick
Blueger
Home
51.2% (1,441)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Carrick
Blueger
P1
51.8%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
52.3%
P3
52.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |