Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Blueger 50.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Carrick
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carrick
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Carrick
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
0
Carrick
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (654)
53.3% (745)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.5% (11)
-45.5%
Penalty Kill
63.9% (36)
41.7% (259)
+22.2%
On power play, Blueger has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Carrick shoots right. Blueger is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Carrick
Blueger
Home
50.0% (328)
53.4% (504)
Away
58.0% (364)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Carrick
Blueger
P1
56.7%
46.6%
P2
51.1%
53.0%
P3
54.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |