Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Blueger 52.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 52.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Carrick
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carrick
Blueger
Last 6: Carrick 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
1
Carrick
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
1
Carrick
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
54.2% (590)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
71.4% (14)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
48.0% (177)
+3.5%
On power play, Blueger has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Blueger is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Carrick
Blueger
Home
52.7% (408)
53.2% (378)
Away
54.1% (377)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Carrick
Blueger
P1
51.4%
54.3%
P2
56.6%
56.7%
P3
52.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |