Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Gagner 48.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.5%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 63.6%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 59.3%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Czarnik
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Czarnik
Gagner
Last 5: Czarnik 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Czarnik
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Czarnik
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (116)
46.5% (310)
-0.8%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
50.4% (115)
-30.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Czarnik shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Gagner
Home
42.6% (61)
52.4% (212)
Away
43.1% (72)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Czarnik
Gagner
P1
39.6%
46.2%
P2
55.8%
52.2%
P3
27.3%
43.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |