Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Gagner 48.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 83.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 82.0%
Neutral zone
Paquette 53.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Paquette
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Gagner
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Paquette
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
46.5% (310)
+2.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.4% (115)
-21.8%
On power play, Gagner has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Paquette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Paquette shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Paquette
Gagner
Home
42.3% (182)
52.4% (212)
Away
48.8% (252)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Paquette
Gagner
P1
51.3%
46.2%
P2
46.1%
52.2%
P3
40.3%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |