Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Gagner 47.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Last 5: Kuznetsov 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Kuznetsov
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
45.6% (651)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
53.8% (119)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Home
43.3% (356)
47.1% (367)
Away
46.2% (325)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gagner
P1
45.8%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
47.9%
P3
41.6%
43.4%
OT
14.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |