Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 45.8% vs Gagner 48.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
McCarron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCarron
Gagner
Last 6: McCarron 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (163)
46.5% (310)
-2.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.4% (115)
-8.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McCarron is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McCarron shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
McCarron
Gagner
Home
44.9% (78)
52.4% (212)
Away
42.3% (97)
42.7% (213)
By Period
McCarron
Gagner
P1
47.1%
46.2%
P2
40.7%
52.2%
P3
41.3%
43.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
43.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |