Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 90.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 85.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Gagner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Gagner
Karlsson
Last 10: Gagner 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
0
Gagner
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Gagner
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
51.8% (7,849)
-6.4%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
54.8% (1,048)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
44.2% (1,109)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Gagner
Karlsson
Home
48.7% (3,025)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Gagner
Karlsson
P1
44.6%
50.3%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
47.3%
52.4%
OT
42.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |