Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 52.4% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 73.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Gagner
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
76.5% (17)
56.3% (739)
+20.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.6% (181)
-30.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Gagner shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Gagner
Karlsson
Home
75.0% (16)
56.5% (462)
Away
37.5% (8)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Gagner
Karlsson
P1
25.0%
57.1%
P2
64.3%
55.2%
P3
83.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
70.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%