Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 66.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Gagner
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
51.4% (735)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
63.5% (115)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
42.9% (133)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Gagner shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Gagner
Karlsson
Home
53.2% (154)
52.3% (524)
Away
40.0% (150)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Gagner
Karlsson
P1
35.6%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
51.4%
P3
51.9%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
34.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%