Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.2%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Karlsson 48.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Gagner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gagner
Karlsson
Last 5: Gagner 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Gagner
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
49.4% (164)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
37.5% (32)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Gagner shoots right. Karlsson is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Gagner
Karlsson
Home
47.1% (367)
49.1% (112)
Away
46.5% (404)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Gagner
Karlsson
P1
49.6%
41.2%
P2
47.9%
44.8%
P3
43.4%
57.4%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |