Scouting Report
Bo Groulx holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 65.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 60.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 54.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Groulx
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Groulx
Lafferty
Last 5: Groulx 3-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
42.6% (324)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
31.3% (16)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
43.8% (16)
+0.0%
On power play, Groulx has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Groulx is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Groulx shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Groulx
Lafferty
Home
49.6% (129)
40.9% (181)
Away
39.0% (146)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Groulx
Lafferty
P1
43.6%
42.2%
P2
45.0%
36.4%
P3
43.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
42.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |