Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 67.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Danault
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Danault
Lafferty
Last 6: Danault 2-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Danault
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
52.2% (366)
+2.9%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
60.0% (15)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (176)
46.2% (104)
-4.2%
On power play, Danault has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Danault shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Danault
Lafferty
Home
55.4% (641)
53.1% (258)
Away
53.3% (632)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Danault
Lafferty
P1
61.0%
52.5%
P2
52.3%
49.7%
P3
51.3%
51.3%
OT
35.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |