Sam Lafferty vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lafferty wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 47.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 88.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 61.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 76.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Lafferty
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lafferty
Karlsson
Last 10: Lafferty 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Lafferty
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
7
1
Lafferty
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lafferty
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,413)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.8%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
54.8% (1,048)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (184)
44.2% (1,109)
-0.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Lafferty shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Karlsson
Home
47.3% (833)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.5% (810)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Lafferty
Karlsson
P1
49.4%
50.3%
P2
43.1%
51.3%
P3
49.8%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |