Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Reinhart 43.9% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 84.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 94.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 89.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Stastny
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stastny
Reinhart
Last 6: Stastny 5-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,004)
39.6% (192)
+15.8%
Power Play
59.0% (210)
55.6% (18)
+3.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Stastny shoots left. Reinhart is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Stastny
Reinhart
Home
56.5% (717)
38.5% (109)
Away
55.0% (693)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Stastny
Reinhart
P1
56.7%
32.9%
P2
57.7%
48.5%
P3
52.1%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |