Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 75.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 70.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 74.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Reinhart
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Reinhart
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Reinhart
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
55.3% (515)
-11.2%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
55.6% (9)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
44.8% (58)
-10.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Reinhart shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Kuraly
Home
40.5% (232)
57.3% (293)
Away
41.8% (282)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Reinhart
Kuraly
P1
46.4%
53.8%
P2
32.6%
51.5%
P3
45.4%
57.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |