Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Reinhart wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 95.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 78.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Reinhart
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Reinhart
Kuraly
Last 10: Reinhart 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
8
2
Reinhart
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
12
Reinhart
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Reinhart
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,173)
51.5% (5,141)
-9.0%
Power Play
46.5% (525)
56.0% (100)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (339)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Reinhart shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Kuraly
Home
44.9% (1,528)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
41.2% (1,509)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Reinhart
Kuraly
P1
44.5%
51.1%
P2
40.5%
49.9%
P3
44.5%
50.0%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |